PUBLICATIONS

Our models and results are detailed in two recent papers. The first work on modeling and prediction for Chinese cities was posted on February 19,2020, the second work was posted on March 10, 2020, and third on March 25, 2020.

  1. Choujun Zhan, Chi K. Tse, Yuxia Fu, Zhikang Lai, Haijun Zhang. Modeling and Prediction of the 2019 Coronavirus Disease Spreading in China Incorporating Human Migration Data. medRxiv 2020.02.18.20024570;
    doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.18.20024570
    [completed February 18, 2020]
     
  2. Choujun Zhan, Chi K. Tse, Zhikang Lai, Tianyong Hao, Jingjing Su, Prediction of COVID-19 Spreading Profiles in South Korea, Italy and Iran by Data-Driven Coding. 
    PLoS ONE 15(7): e0234763, July 2020.
    doi: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0234763
    [completed March 8, 2020; revised on May 17, 2020]

  3. Choujun Zhan, Chi K. Tse, Zhikang Lai, Xiaoyun Chen, Mingshen Mo, General Model for COVID-19 Spreading with Consideration of Intercity Migration, Insufficient Testing and Active Intervention: Application to Study of Pandemic Progression in Japan and USA.
    JMIR Public Health and Surveillance 6(3): e18880, July 2020.
    doi: 10.2196/18880
    [completed March 25, 2020]


Publications related to SARS and others:

  1. D. He, R. Lui, L. Wang, C. K. Tse, L. Yang, and L. Stone, "Global spatio-temporal patterns of influenza in post-pandemic era," Scientific Reports, vol. 5, article 11013, DOI: 10.1038/srep11013, June 2015.
  2. M. Small and C. K. Tse, "Complex network models of disease propagation: modelling, predicting and assessing the transmission of SARS," Hong Kong Medical Journal, vol. 16, no. 5, supplement 4, pp. 43-44,October 2010.
  3. M. Small, D.M. Walker, and C. K. Tse, "Scale free distribution of avian influenza outbreaks," Physical Review Letters, vol. 99, 188702, November 2007.
  4. M. Small, C. K. Tse, and D.M. Walker, "Super-spreaders and the rate of transmission of the SARS virus," Physica D, vol. 215, pp. 146-158, March 2006.
  5. M. Small and C. K. Tse, "Small World and Scale Free Network Model of Transmission of SARS," International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, vol. 15, no. 5, pp. 1745-1756, May 2005.
  6. M. Small and C. K. Tse, "Clustering Model for Transmission of the SARS Virus: Application to Epidemic Control and Risk Assessment," Physica A, vol. 351, pp. 499-511, March 2005.
  7. M. Small, P. Shi, and C. K. Tse, "Plausible Models for Propagation of the SARS Virus," IEICE Transactions on Fundamentals of Electronics Communications and Computer Sciences, vol. E87-A, no. 9, pp. 2379--2386, September 2004
© Michael Tse 2020